各位周6好,截至北京时间12月10日,乌克兰战争进入290天。
乌克兰总统泽连斯基周五表示,“顿巴斯地区的关键地区的前线局势仍然非常困难——巴赫穆特、索莱达尔、马林卡、克里米纳。“
这是近几个月在顿涅茨克州附近2军作战的热点。
虽然几个月过去了,但是目前双方都没有较大进展。顿巴斯地区是俄罗斯在乌克兰的主要作战目标。俄罗斯的防御态势可见一斑。
在乌克兰民生方面,由于俄罗斯持续发动空袭,乌克兰目前的电力、水、暖气供应方面依然存在困难。
Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to discuss negotiations with Ukraine as a means of separating Ukraine from its Western supporters by portraying Kyiv as unwilling to compromise or even to talk seriously.
俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京(Vladimir Putin)继续讨论与乌克兰的谈判,将其描绘为不愿妥协甚至不愿认真对话,以此将乌克兰与其西方支持者分离开来。Putin’s positioning in the Russian information space continues to oscillate between supporting the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) and backing the nationalist and pro-war milblogger community.普京在俄罗斯信息领域的定位继续在支持俄罗斯国防部(MoD)和支持民族主义和亲战争的军事博客社区之间摇摆不定。An independent open-source investigation by the BBC’s Russia service and independent Russia outlet Mediazona found that members of Russian national republics deploy to Ukraine at disproportionately higher rates than ethnically Russian oblasts, but that ethnic Russians are dying at a rate proportional to their representation in the Russian Federation population, contrary to previous ISW assessments.BBC俄罗斯频道和独立俄罗斯媒体Mediazona进行的一项独立的开源调查发现,俄罗斯民族共和国的成员部署到乌克兰的比例远远高于俄罗斯民族州,但俄罗斯民族的死亡比例与其在俄罗斯联邦人口中的比例成正比,与之前的战争研究所评估相反。Senior US officials stated that Russia is providing an unprecedented level of military and technical support to Iran in exchange for Iranian-made weapons systems.美国高级官员表示,俄罗斯正在向伊朗提供前所未有的军事和技术支持,以换取伊朗制造的武器系统。Russian forces established defensive lines near Svatove, and Russian and Ukrainian forces conducted ground attacks near Kreminna.俄罗斯军队在斯瓦托夫(又译为斯瓦托韦)附近建立了防线,俄罗斯和乌克兰军队在克里米纳附近进行了地面攻击。Russian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut and Avdiivka.俄罗斯军队继续在巴赫穆特和阿夫迪伊夫卡附近发动地面攻击。Russian forces may have established positions on an island west of Kherson City in the Dnipro River.俄罗斯军队可能在第聂伯罗河赫尔松市以西的一个岛屿上建立了阵地。Ukrainian forces’ interdiction campaign against Russian military assets and logistics hubs in southern Ukraine has likely degraded Russian forces, their logistics lines, and broader Russian morale.乌克兰军队对乌克兰南部俄罗斯军事资产和后勤中心的阻击行动可能打击了俄罗斯军队、俄罗斯后勤线和更广泛的俄罗斯士气。Putin doubled down on claims that Russia will not conduct a second wave of mobilization amidst persistent concerns within Russian society.Russian occupation authorities continued to strengthen physical, legal, and social control over occupied territories.在俄罗斯社会持续担忧的情况下,普京加倍强调俄罗斯不会进行第二波动员。俄罗斯占领当局继续加强对被占领领土的物理、法律和社会控制。